How Google Suggest Changes Paid Search
On August 25th 2008 Google announced the death of long tail in paid search. Of course they didn't come right out an say it but I doubt anyone reading here is surprised about that. Google called the post, "At a loss for words?"...which when I first the news was an accurate description of my state of mind. The death of the long tail in paid search was not something that happened overnight and the full launch of Google Suggest is not the sole reason, it's just the final nail in the coffin. Lots of little things have got us to where we are today but in my opinion two major events over the past 12 - 24 months are primarily responsible for killing of the tail in paid search.
Reason 1: Google cranked the dial on EBM (expanded broad match) to a whole new level in 2007.
As recently as 2005 - 2006 you could set up a new campaign with 10's of thousands of long tail exact matched keywords and reap the benefits of your precise targeting via an extremely low cost per click. Odds are most of your keywords would have little to no competition and as long as you could maintain a decent quality score your ad would stay live and your bids would stay low. Each term would not produce many clicks but cumulatively the clicks/traffic for your 100,000 keyword account would add up to numbers that most would consider "significant".
For example maybe one of your exact matched keywords was something like "1997 honda accord replacement left mirror". Odds are you wouldn't have much competition on that specific phrase so even though it may only be handful of queries a year you could still capture that traffic at a very low cost. All those big name advertisers bidding $20 a click on broad matched terms like "cars" and "auto parts" wouldn't be an issue, they were not chasing the tail. Google realized they were leaving a ton of $$ on the table and loosened up EBM. Once that happened all those advertisers spending big money on broad matched terms started showing up in the space and driving up costs for everyone else. Whereas before you may have been 1 of a few ads showing on the page, Google decided via EBM that people bidding on "cars, "auto parts", "mirrors", "autos", "honda", etc should start showing up for a wider variety of terms that they deemed relevant.
That was major event #1 that contributed to the death of the tail in paid search. The cost efficiencies gained from massive keyword lists and low bids were essentially wiped out over a few short months. Why try and manage hundreds of thousands of long tail keywords when you could just punch in your top 20 terms and let Google do the rest?
Don't get me wrong - there's still efficiencies to be realized by utilizing exact matched long tail keywords but those efficiencies have been greatly reduced.
Reason 2: Google Suggest "suggests" shorter queries which from what I've seen in most (all???) cases have sufficient ad inventory to fill the page.
Why search for "used red hybrid cars in illinois" when Google suggests "used cars" instead? Which query do you think stands to make them the most $$$?
Google acknowledges this feature will "help formulate queries"...I would say a better description would be to "help formulate the most valuable queries". While not everyone searching will use the suggested terms I'm sure a fairly high % of people will...enough so that it will make a difference in search volume for both long tail and shorter terms. While I think just about everyone would agree that Suggest will drive up keyword costs on certain terms I do think this opens some new opportunities and efficiencies within the paid search space.
At minimum, look at what Google Suggest is "suggesting" for your base terms and make sure you have visibility for those terms. If you have a very extensive campaign in place already you're likely covered already but I have seen some some interesting suggestions for keywords I watch. You can also use the suggest feature to further refine your negative keyword lists.
I also think this is a great opportunity to rethink the structure of your account(s). I've taken "long tail" accounts with thousands of keywords and consolidated them down to a few hundred keywords. This became more of a common practice for me in 2007 as expanded broad match kept expanding. Why try and manage 20,000 keywords when you can get the same (or better) with 200 keywords? The time savings alone is huge and almost without fail I've been able to maintain or improve ROI using a smaller set of keywords.
As paid search professionals we're use to big changes from Google with little or no advanced notice that can change the way we do business overnight. This is one of those changes and I'm sure we'll see even more changes in the coming months. I think with this particular change there's an opportunity for paid search pros to do more with less...I guess we'll see how it plays out over the coming weeks.
Others are commenting on this change as well, here are some links to other discussions that you may find useful:
How Google Suggest Suggest Will Affect Search ~ Bigmouthmedia
Google.com Finally Gets Google Suggest Feature ~ Search Engine Land
New "Google Suggest" Tells You Where to Go ~ PC World
Google Suggest(s) a New Reputation Management Nightmare ~ Martin Bowling.com
Google Suggest - Long Tail Killer or New Opportunity? ~ 5 Star Affiliate Programs
9 Ideas How Google Suggest Could Change Search Marketing ~ Scott Clark
Google Suggest to Change the Ways of Search Engine Optimization ~ SER
How do you think Google Suggest will impact paid search and paid search marketers?
Labels: adwords, paid search




